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13-week cash forecast · Treasury · Machine learning

A 13-week cash forecast that updates itself every morning.

AI cash flow forecasting built from your bank feeds, open receivables, payables and ERP history. The model learns how your customers really pay and when costs really land, then explains every week's variance so treasury stops rebuilding spreadsheets.

Daily refresh from bank and ERP data13 weeks direct method, by entity and currencyVariance explained by driver, every week

What is AI cash flow forecasting?

AI cash flow forecasting is the use of machine learning to predict future cash receipts and payments from bank transactions, open AR and AP, payroll, tax and ERP history. Instead of applying fixed payment terms, it learns actual customer payment timing and recurring spend patterns. It outputs a rolling 13-week direct cash forecast by entity and currency, with confidence ranges and a weekly explanation of forecast versus actual.

Treasury and FP&ADelivered in the US, UK and UAEUpdated
The spreadsheet forecast

Most cash forecasts are rebuilt by hand, every week, from stale data.

Someone downloads bank balances, exports ageing reports, emails business units for their numbers and pastes it all together. By the time the forecast is reviewed, it is already out of date.

of $1B–$10B companies collect forecast data manually and consolidate it offline, per PwC's 2025 Global Treasury Survey of 350 treasurers.[1]

of treasurers cite poor data quality as a barrier to effective forecasting (PwC, 2025).[1]

Average satisfaction with manual forecasting versus 3.3 for system-based forecasting in the same PwC survey.[1]

Terms are not behaviour so a forecast that assumes customers pay on 30 days misses when they actually pay.

What we deploy

Data in, forecast out, variance explained.

Inputs · banks, ERP, payroll

Cash data pipeline

Pulls balances and transactions from your banks and open items from the ERP, then classifies every line into forecast categories.

  • Bank feeds via file export, host-to-host or aggregator
  • AR, AP, payroll, tax and debt schedules from NetSuite, SAP or Dynamics
  • Transaction categorisation you can correct and the model learns from
Model · receipts and payments

13-week ML forecast

Separate models for receipts, supplier payments and recurring flows, combined into a direct-method forecast with ranges.

  • Customer-level payment timing, not contractual terms
  • Seasonality, month-end and holiday effects
  • Known one-offs such as capex, dividends and tax entered by treasury
Output · treasury and CFO

Variance and scenarios

A weekly pack showing forecast versus actual by driver, with scenarios for the decisions you are weighing.

  • Variance split by customer, supplier and category
  • Scenarios: delayed large receipt, hiring plan, revolver draw
  • Excel and Power BI outputs, so reporting habits stay
The 21-day production pilot

Back-test on your history, then forecast live.

Days 1–4

Connect banks and ledger

We connect bank exports and ERP read access for one or two entities, and agree the metric, usually week-1 to week-4 forecast error.

Days 5–11

Back-test

The model forecasts past weeks it has not seen. We compare its error with your existing spreadsheet forecast for the same weeks.

Days 12–18

Live daily forecast

The forecast refreshes each morning. Treasury adds known one-offs and reviews the first weekly variance pack.

Days 19–21

Score the error

We report live and back-tested accuracy against baseline by horizon, and agree whether to move to Run and add entities.

Options compared

Cash flow forecasting approaches compared

CriterionSpreadsheetOff-the-shelf toolStratgik build + run
Data collectionManual exports and emailsAutomated for supported banks and ERPsAutomated, including local and regional banks
Receipts logicPayment termsRules or vendor modelsCustomer-level ML trained on your history
Variance explanationAnalyst commentaryCategory-levelDriver-level, customer and supplier
Proof of accuracyRarely measuredVendor case studiesBack-test versus your current forecast
Best fitOne entity, stable cashStandard banking and ERP stackMulti-entity, multi-currency, lumpy receipts
Why it matters now

Treasurers want better forecasts and are moving to AI slowly.

Interest in machine learning for forecasting is high, but few teams rate their capability as mature. Meanwhile, cash tied up in working capital keeps the stakes high.

  • Treasury owns the final forecast, not the model
  • Every forecast line traces to source transactions
  • Accuracy is measured by horizon, every week
  • No payments or transfers are executed by the system
74%of treasurers are expanding or actively using AI, with machine learning (71%) and predictive analytics (64%) the focus areas (PwC Global Treasury Survey 2025).[1]
26%rate their AI capabilities as moderately or very mature (PwC Global Treasury Survey 2025).[1]
$1.7Tis trapped in excess working capital at the top 1,000 US non-financial public companies, 11% of their revenue (The Hackett Group, 2025).[2]
€1.84Tof excess working capital could be freed globally across more than 17,000 companies (PwC Working Capital Study 25/26).[3]
Work out the numbers first

What a more accurate forecast is worth

A better forecast lets you hold a smaller safety buffer and stop rebuilding spreadsheets. The buffer reduction is an assumption until the pilot measures your forecast error.

Value per year

Test this in a pilot

Illustrative estimate using your inputs and stated assumptions, not a quote or guarantee. The pilot measures the real figure against your baseline.

Pricing

Priced on entities, banks and currencies

Pilot

$16,000 one-time

21-day pilot, up to 2 entities and 5 bank accounts

  • Bank and ERP connections
  • Back-test against your current forecast
  • Daily live 13-week forecast
  • Accuracy report by horizon
Scope my pilot
Most teams continue here

Run

$3,500 / month

per month, up to 3 entities

  • Daily refresh and data monitoring
  • Weekly variance pack
  • Monthly model retraining
  • Support for treasury and FP&A users
Talk to us

Scale

$9,000+ / month

per month, group-wide multi-currency forecasting

  • All entities, banks and currencies
  • Scenario modelling and covenant headroom
  • Monthly forecast to 12 months
  • Power BI or Snowflake integration
Plan a rollout

Usage (model compute, bank connectivity fees, cloud hosting) billed at cost; deployed in your cloud account where required; taxes excluded. GBP and AED prices are indicative conversions from USD.

Questions buyers ask

AI cash flow forecasting: frequently asked questions

How accurate is AI cash flow forecasting?

AI cash flow forecasting accuracy depends on your data history and how lumpy your cash flows are, so we do not quote a generic number. In the pilot we back-test the model on past weeks it never saw and compare its error with your current spreadsheet forecast for the same weeks, by horizon. You see the result before committing to anything further.

What is a 13-week cash flow forecast?

A 13-week cash flow forecast is a rolling, week-by-week projection of cash receipts, payments and closing balances for the next quarter, built using the direct method from actual transactions. Treasurers, lenders and restructuring advisers use it to manage liquidity, covenant headroom and payment timing. Each week, the oldest week drops off, a new one is added, and variances are reviewed.

What data does AI cash flow forecasting need?

It needs 12 to 24 months of bank transactions, open and historical AR and AP from your ERP, payroll dates and totals, and known schedules such as tax, rent, debt service and capex. More history helps the model learn seasonality and customer payment behaviour. Missing or messy data is common; the pilot shows which gaps matter and which do not.

Can machine learning replace our treasury analyst?

No. Machine learning takes over the data gathering and the routine prediction of recurring flows, which is where most forecasting hours go. Your analyst still owns one-off items, business context, scenarios and the final forecast, and spends more time explaining variances and advising on decisions. The system never moves money or executes payments.

How does it work with NetSuite, SAP or Kyriba?

We read open AR, AP and historical transactions from NetSuite, SAP, Dynamics 365 or Sage, and bank data from statement files, host-to-host connections or aggregators. If you already use a treasury system such as Kyriba, we can feed our forecast into it or take its bank data, rather than replacing it. Outputs are also available in Excel and Power BI.

How long does it take to implement a cash forecasting model?

A first production forecast runs within 21 days for one or two entities: bank and ERP connections in week one, back-testing in week two, and live daily forecasts in week three. Adding more entities, currencies and banks usually takes a further four to eight weeks, mostly driven by how quickly bank data access is arranged.

Next step

Give us two years of bank data. We will back-test your forecast.

A 30-minute call to choose entities and a metric, then a fixed-price 21-day pilot scored against your current spreadsheet.